Service Plays Saturday 11/6/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Games To Watch - Week 10

Michigan State and Missouri were knocked from the ranks of the unbeaten and out of national championship contention. That herd of perfection will be thinned by at least one this Saturday when the Utes and Horned Frogs hit the field in Salt Lake City. What other games are worth keeping an eye on this Saturday on the college gridiron? Let’s find out…

TCU At Utah


Skinny

All eyes are on the Mountain West this weekend as No. 4 TCU (9-0 straight up, 4-4 against the spread) heads to Salt Lake City to face off with No. 6 Utah (8-0 SU, 6-1-1 ATS) in what looks like a battle for a BCS Bowl and maybe more. These squads sit atop the conference standings and a win by either team virtually guarantees them the Mountain West crown. A win for either team here gives them a better Top 10 triumph than what Boise State has on its schedule. Utah can really make a name for itself with a win this week and then a win at Notre Dame next weekend. Looking at this week's battle, this has all the marking of a classic. The Horned Frogs (40.8 PPG) and Utes (45.3 PPG) know how to score in bunches. TCU is a much more ground oriented team, evidenced by 270.9 yards per game on the ground to rank 9th nationally. They rely on Ed Wesley (938 yards, 10 TDs) to pace them on the ground. But the Horned Frogs can also take to the air with some effectiveness with Andy Dalton (16 TDs) under center. Utah possesses a more balanced attack on offense 191.5 YPG on the ground and 258.1 YPG through the air. But they do have the advantage of having two solid quarterbacks with Jordan Wynn (13 TD, 6 INTs) and Terrance Cain (6 TD, O INT). The Utes will be looking for some revenge from last year's 55-28 whipping they took in Fort Worth last year. While that sounds awful, keep in mind that Wynn was starting his third game for Utah.

Gambling Notes

Outside of last year's blowout, this series has remained a close one. Utah has won four of the last six head-to-head meetings with a 4-2 ATS mark. Three of these games have been decided by no more than seven points. The home squad has been the right bet here as they're 4-1 SU and ATS. TCU has been a covering machine as of late, posting a 3-1 ATS record in its last four games. That will tend to happen when you outscore opponents 162-16. The Horned Frogs have also gone 3-1 ATS at home this season. Utah suffered its first ATS loss last weekend against the Falcons in what was a classic look ahead spot. Yet the Utes are a stellar 3-0-1 ATS at Rice-Eccles Stadium. Totals players would do well to focus on a low score as the 'under' is 4-1. The lone 'over' came in last year's blowout.

Alabama At LSU

Skinny

The national title hunt is still alive and well in the SEC. Well, just alive and well in the SEC West, anyway. Somebody's title hopes will be dashed in Baton Rouge on Saturday afternoon as fifth-ranked Alabama (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) takes on No. 12 LSU (7-1 SU, 3-4 ATS). This is the fourth edition of the "Saban Bowl" and we have a good chance at another nail biter. The first two meetings between these programs since Nick Saban took over the Crimson Tide in 2007 saw the road teams leave triumphant. Last year's battle saw 'Bama force the Tigers into two three-and-outs and an interception in the fourth quarter for a 24-15 win in Tuscaloosa. Most experts would tell you that this game could be one where points are at a premium as the Tide are 2nd (12.5 PPG) and the Bayou Bengals are 10th (15.6 PPG) in scoring defense. LSU is coming into this game after a 24-17 road loss to Auburn in the first big SEC West battle of the year. While the Tigers stayed close in the final score, they were toyed with by Auburn for 526 total yards with 440 of that on the ground. That has no doubt made Mark Ingram (544 yards, 8 TDs) and Trent Richardson (606 yards, 5 TDs) salivate at the thought of taking on Les Miles' defense. Alabama has bounced back strong with two comfortable wins over Ole Miss and Tennessee.

Gambling Notes

Could we have an upset brewing down in Tiger Stadium? Totally possible with the Tigers as 6.5-point home pups. However, Les Miles and Company have gone 0-3 SU and 0-2-1 ATS in their last three games as home underdogs over the last five years. Alabama has been a great wager for gamblers when posted as a road "chalk" against SEC foes since Saban took over in '07, evidenced by a 11-2 SU and 8-5 ATS record. However, the Tide have struggled in this role recently with a 1-3 ATS mark in their last four games in this role. Plus, LSU has gone a 2-5 SU and ATS when listed as a 6.5-point or less underdog over the last five years.

Other Games To Watch


Baylor At Oklahoma State

Who would have guessed that the Bears and Cowboys would be playing an elimination game for the Big XII South title? I sure as hell didn't think it would happen. Baylor is coming off of a huge 30-22 win in Austin over the Longhorns. They've gone 2-1 ATS on the road in conference play. Oklahoma State came back last week with a 24-14 win over K-State in Manhattan. Important win for them after losing a shoot out to the Cornhuskers in Stillwater. The Cowpokes have won and covered the last four meetings with the Bears. However, Baylor is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games as a road 'dog in Big XII games.

Arkansas vs. South Carolina

The Gamecocks in an unfamiliar position as they control their own destiny to win the SEC East. The only problem for Steve Spurrier's club is that the Razorbacks have won three of the last four meetings. The margin of victory has been big in the last three games with margins of 17, 13 and 12.

Arizona At Stanford

If it weren't for a second half collapse, Stanford could be sitting in the No. 1 spot in the BCS standings. Yet the Cardinal don't control their own destiny to win the Pac-10. Arizona is still trying to make the Rose Bowl for the first time in school history. The 'Cats have a better chance to do it than most other seasons with Nick Foles expected to be back under center. The home team has won and covered the last two times these clubs have faced off. The 'under' have gone 5-1 in the last six meetings.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Big 12 Report

The Big 12 now has 5 ranked teams in the Top 25, and the Nebraska Cornhuskers crawled back into the driver’s seat last week with a beat down of the Mizzou Tigers in Lincoln, where Roy Hulu Jr. ran wild and set a single game rushing records for the Huskers, and that is saying something considering the past running backs at Nebraska. As Nebraska punches their exit ticket for the Big 10 next year, they are clearly lining up an old Big 8 battle at season’s end with long time hated rival Oklahoma who clearly is the best team in the South. Both teams have some potential landmines along the way, but it looks to be a December 12th meeting in Dallas for those two unless the wheels come off.

Other contenders still are Mizzou up north and not to mention Iowa State, a real shocker this season with a huge game on deck this week at home with Nebraska. Baylor is getting the best coaching in the Big 12 from Art Bryles and have now knocked off Texas in Austin as Iowa State did the week before and have no doubt, Baylor and QB Griffen are the real deal and ranked and currently leading the South standings! A lot of big games that determine some paths for some teams this weekend, lets break them down and offer some opinions.

Nebraska -19 @ Iowa State – Potential landmine for Huskers, but remember last year Iowa State BEAT Nebraska in Lincoln after the Huskers turned it over 8 times in a single game. That is a good thing considering Nebraska is off a huge national TV game against Missouri and this could be a letdown spot for a game like this, so having some payback should give the Huskers focus. All world QB Taylor Martinez has an ankle sprain and bone bruise in his leg, and is 50/50 for this game, but Zac Lee is a 5th year senior and started all last year and has seen plenty of time already, so they are in good shape there. ISU off a so-so win against Kansas last week after upsetting Texas. This should be a better than advertised game, as ISU can move the ball, but play little defense and NU’s offense may give them trouble. A lot of points on the road after a big win, Lean to the host to cover.

Baylor @ Okie State -7 – Baylor sits atop the South rankings but are playing a team whose only loss is to #6 ranked Nebraska, a game they were in till mid fourth quarter. Baylor off a huge win and now travel back to back here, while OSU off a pretty tough game and 10 point win at Kansas State. This should be a shootout in Stillwater without question as these two teams 1 and 2 in scoring offense’s in the Big 12. The Total is 73 in this game, the highest for either team all season, I lean to the UNDER. This will be a hard fought game with equal teams, slight edge to OSU at home, UNDER is my lean.

Colorado -8 @ Kansas – If you look at the list of injuries for Colorado it is flat out scary that they are laying 8 to anyone at home or on the road. Given the fact half their OL is out, and QB Hansen is gone for the season, the Buffs face a tough test the rest of the way out, but this is a winnable game on the road. Look for Kansas to possibly get a QB from the stands as they are on their fourth QB so far due to injury and none are ready to play, what a mess for Turner Gill. Look for Colorado to sneak out a win here by 10, lean to visitor.

Other games this weekend include my Big 12 Game of the MONTH between Texas AM and Oklahoma, so look for that. Missouri travels back to back weeks laying 4 at Texas Tech who just got waxed on the road at Texas AM and their last home they were beaten by 17 against Okie State and have lost 4 out of their last 6. SOLID Lean to Mizzou in this one. Texas travels to Kansas State laying 4 points and both teams are reeling. At day’s end the Longhorns have better talent and should win a close one, but Texas not bankable as they have lost 9 out of their last 11 games ATS, small lean to Texas here but a stay away game for me.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SEC Showdowns

There are just three SEC games in Week 10, as five schools venture out of conference to face cupcake opponents. Let’s take a look at all three contests and touch on a number of other SEC-related topics.

**Florida at Vanderbilt**

Most betting shops opened Florida (5-3 straight up, 4-4 against the spread) as a 14-point favorite, but most spots had adjusted to 14 ½ by Wednesday due to the news of Warren Norman’s season-ending injury. The total is 46 at most books. Bettors can take the Commodores on the money line for a plus-430 payout (risk $100 to win $430).

Vanderbilt (2-6 SU, 3-5 ATS) has lost three straight games both SU and ATS, including last week’s 49-14 loss at Arkansas as a 19 ½-point underdog. The Commodores actually jumped out to a 14-6 lead in the first quarter, only to allow the Razorbacks to score 43 unanswered points.

Vandy’s Norman, a sophomore RB who is also a standout on special teams, rushed for 64 yards on just 11 carries and had a 40-yard kick return before suffering a wrist injury that’ll sideline him for the rest of the year. Norman had rushed for a team-high 459 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 6.0 yards per carry.

UF snapped its first three-game losing streak in the regular season since 1988 by beating Georgia 34-31 in overtime last week. The Gators took the cash as one-point underdogs, but those who got their money-line wagers in during the week brought home at least a plus-120 payout (risk $100 to win $120). There was no ‘plus’ money available Saturday as the line moved from UGA minus 2 ½ to UGA minus one or even pick ‘em at some books.

Chas Henry, a senior punter who has had an excellent career but has been thrust into the place-kicking role this year due to Caleb Sturgis’ back injury, buried a 37-yard field goal to lift the Gators past the Dawgs in the extra session. UGA had the ball first in OT, but Will Hill intercepted an Aaron Murray pass and nearly took it back for a walk-off pick-six. However, he stepped out of bounds at the four yard line.

The ‘over’ is 5-3 overall for the Gators, 1-1 in their road assignments. Meanwhile, totals have been a wash for Vandy both overall (4-4) and in its home games (2-2).

Florida has won 19 in a row over Vandy, beating the Commodores 27-3 as a 35-point home favorite last season. When these schools met in Nashville two years ago, UF took the cash in a 42-14 triumph as a 23 ½-point road ‘chalk.’

The SEC Network will have the telecast at 12:20 p.m. Eastern.

**Alabama at LSU**

These bitter rivals have had two weeks to prep for this crucial SEC West battle. The winner stays in the division race, the SEC title hunt and the national-title picture. The loser? Well, the loser is hatin’ it, headed to the Sugar Bowl (at best) but more likely en route to a New Year’s Day game in the Sunshine State (that might start before noon Eastern).

As of Thursday morning, most books were listing Alabama (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) as the favorite by six or 6 ½, while the total was either 44 or 44 ½. The home underdog can be had to win outright for a plus-210 payout (risk $100 to win $210).

Sportsbook.com has ‘Bama listed as a little richer ‘chalk’ than other spots. The website’s Senior Oddsmaker Mike Perry told VI on Wednesday, “We opened Alabama at 6 ½ but have already moved to seven. We started the total at 44 but are now at 44 ½. On the side, 88% of our action has been on the Crimson Tide.”

Nick Saban’s team is coming off a 41-10 win at Tennessee as a 17-point road favorite. Trent Richardson and Mark Ingram combined to rush 26 times for 207 yards and three touchdowns. Greg McElroy completed 21-of-32 passes for 264 yards without throwing an interception.

Les Miles’ squad is in bounce-back mode after seeing its unbeaten record go up in smoke in a 24-17 loss at Auburn as a 5 ½-point road underdog. As it tends to do, LSU hung in there on The Plains, tying the game at 10-10 just before halftime and also knotting the score at 17-17 early in the final stanza. But a 70-yard TD run by Onterio McCalebb midway through the fourth quarter proved to be the undoing for the Bayou Bengals, who were out-yarded 526-243 in the game.

As a home underdog during Miles’ six-year tenure, LSU is 0-2 both SU and ATS. The losses came to ‘Bama in ’08 (see below) and to Florida (13-3) last season.

Alabama is 9-5 ATS as a road favorite on Saban’s watch.

There’s enough on the line in this contest, but we’d be remiss to not bring up the fact that this is Saban’s second trip to Baton Rouge since leaving LSU for the Dolphins, only to end up back in the SEC West a few years later. Since Saban got to Alabama, the Tide has won two of three head-to-head meetings, going 2-0-1 ATS. When these schools squared off at Tiger Stadium in 2008, LSU was the better team in every facet of the game except for the final score. The Tigers couldn’t overcome QB Jarrett Lee’s inept play (in fairness to Lee, who was a true freshman, he wasn’t ready for this type of game yet and the blame should actually fall on Ryan Perrilloux, whose dismissal from the program led to Lee becoming the starter) and lost a 27-21 decision in overtime as three-point home underdogs.

Alabama beat LSU by a 24-15 count as a 7 ½-point home favorite in last year’s encounter that was much closer than the final score indicated. A late field goal from the Crimson Tide gave ‘Bama backers the cover.

The ‘under’ is 6-2 overall for LSU, 4-0 in its home games that haven’t seen more than 42 combined points. Meanwhile, ‘Bama has seen the ‘under’ go 4-3-1 overall, but the ‘over’ is 3-1 in its road contests.

The ‘over’ has hit in four consecutive head-to-head meetings between these schools.

CBS will provide television coverage at 3:30 p.m. Eastern.

**Arkansas at South Carolina**

Most books opened South Carolina (6-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) as a three-point favorite for this key SEC clash. When Arkansas wide receiver Greg Childs was ruled out for the season on Tuesday, gamblers saw the number move to 3 ½ or 4 at most spots. The total is 59 and the Razorbacks are plus-160 on the money line (risk $100 to win $160).

Arkansas (6-2 SU, 5-2 ATS) has covered the number in five of its last six games, including back-to-back home wins over Ole Miss (38-24) and Vandy (49-14) since losing at Auburn in Week 7.

South Carolina failed to cover the number in last week’s 38-24 home win over Tennessee as a 17 ½-point home ‘chalk.’ Junior QB Stephen Garcia rushed for a pair of touchdowns and hit Alshon Jeffrey for a 70-yard scoring strike that put the Gamecocks up 31-24 early in the fourth quarter.

South Carolina RB Marcus Lattimore has probably been the nation’s premier true freshman this year. Despite missing 1 ½ games, Lattimore is second in the SEC in rushing with 722 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns. He’s averaging 4.8 yards per carry. Lattimore came back against UT last week after missing the win over Vandy in Week 8 with a sprained ankle. He torched the Vols for 184 rushing yards and one TD on 29 carries.

Arkansas is led by senior QB Ryan Mallett, who has 2,449 passing yards and an 18/7 touchdown-to-interception ratio. The Michigan transfer threw for 409 yards and three TDs without being intercepted in last week’s win over Vandy. However, Mallett will be without Childs this week and might also be missing WR Joe Adams, who is “questionable” with an ankle sprain. Adams has 30 receptions for 544 yards and four TDs this year.

The Hogs are 5-5 ATS as road underdogs during Petrino’s three-year tenure. They are 1-1 both SU and ATS on the road this year, winning at Georgia (31-24) before losing at Auburn (65-43).

The ‘over’ is 5-2 overall for the Gamecocks, 3-1 in their home games. They are 5-0 SU and 3-1 ATS at Williams-Brice Stadium this season.

During Steve Spurrier’s six-year tenure, South Carolina owns a 12-8 spread record as a home favorite.

South Carolina senior safety and special-teams ace Chris Culliver was lost for the season in last week’s win over UT. Culliver sustained a torn pectoral muscle. Junior C.C. Whitlock is expected to move into the starting lineup against the SEC’s top-ranked passing offense.

Kick-off is slated for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

Arkansas is second in the SEC in scoring offense, averaging 35.0 points per game.

South Carolina’s Garcia is enjoying the best season of his up-and-down collegiate career. The Tampa product is second in the SEC in passing efficiency and third in passing yards. Garcia has a 13/7 TD-INT ratio and has rushed for four TDs.

Although Kentucky is just 4-5 this year, the team is still alive to go to a bowl game for a fifth straight year (an unheard of accomplishment before Rich Brooks’ arrival in Lexington). The Wildcats, who host Charleston Southern this week (no line yet as of Thursday), finish at home vs. Vandy and then get an open date before going to Knoxville in an attempt to end a 25-game losing streak against Tennessee. Senior QB Mike Hartline has enjoyed a banner year and deserves props galore. He came into 2010 with more career interceptions than touchdowns, but he has an excellent 19/8 TD-INT ratio this year.

If Vandy upsets Florida and South Carolina beats Arkansas, the Gamecocks will win the SEC East for the first time since coming into the league in 1992. If the Gators beat the Commodores, they will host South Carolina at The Swamp next week for the division title and a trip to Atlanta (regardless of what happens in the Ark-SC game).

Perry of Sportsbook, who is now a weekly guest on the Power Hours, told VI on Wednesday that Oregon was the most one-sided bet on the college football board for the website this week. Perry said, “We opened at Oregon -28 but moved all the way up to 35 ½ when it was announced that Washington QB Jake Locker was out. The line move has not impacted the players one bit, as 96% are behind the Ducks.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Top 25 Battles

Several crucial games in terms of conference and national title implications this weekend, so let’s get right into it:

No. 22 Baylor (7-2) at No. 19 Oklahoma State (7-1)

This matchup between two of college football’s highest-scoring offenses will go a long way in deciding the Big 12 South divisional race. Oklahoma State ranks second nationally with 527.3 yards of offense per game and tied for third with 45.3 points per game; Baylor, no slouch itself on offense, averages 34.3 points and 490.4 yards per game. The Bears come into this contest as a seven-point underdog, due in large part to their relative lack of inexperience in meaningful late-season games. Baylor hasn’t been ranked in the Top-25 since 1993 but did beat in-state rivals Texas last week in what might’ve been its biggest win of the season, so emotions and momentum are riding high.

No. 4 TCU (9-0) at No. 6 Utah (8-0)

Talk about your BCS Busters. Horned Frogs vs. Utes is not just the biggest Mountain West Conference clash of the year – it’s likely the decider on which program will be BCS Bowl-bound this January. TCU comes in the favorite (-5.0) as an experienced, veteran team that has simply rolled up the opposition this year: Beginning in Week 3 with a 45-10 win over now-No. 22 Baylor, TCU has gone on to win games by scores of 41-24, 27-0, 45-0, 31-3, 38-7 and 48-6. While some sharps in the betting community will point to the fact that TCU has never won in three trips to Salt Lake City – which includes a 2008 loss to Utah that pushed the Utes into BCS Bowl-land – that can be countered by memories of last season. What was supposed to be a classic Mountain West clash ended up a dud as the Horned Frogs hammered the Utes 55-28.

No 13 Arizona (7-1) at No. 10 Stanford (7-1)

The big question surrounding this game: Will Nick Foles be able to go? Arizona’s star junior QB has missed the last two games with a dislocated kneecap and while the Wildcats offense hasn’t exactly struggled without him (44 points against Washington, 29 against UCLA), the passing game certainly misses his precision. Foles is one of the most accurate passers in college football, working at a ridiculous 75.3 completion percentage this year. This is also a great chance for him to stack up against Stanford QB Andrew Luck, widely thought of as one of the best quarterbacks in the country and a possible top-five NFL draft pick for 2011. Because of the uncertainty surrounding Foles, Arizona comes into this one as a 9.5-point underdog, but take note: Stanford has had trouble closing out games at home recently. There was a 38-28 decision over lowly Washington State and a 37-35 nail biter over USC.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DR BOB

BEST BETS
Rotation #327 Boston College (-3) 3-Stars at -3 or less, 2-Stars up to -4.
Rotation #338 Oklahoma State (-7 1/2) 3-Stars at -9 1/2 or less, 2-Stars at -10.
Rotation #366 Texas A&M (+3) 3-Stars at +1 or more, 2-Stars at pick or -1.
Rotation #374 Louisiana Tech (pick) 3-Stars at -1 or better, 2-Stars up to -3.
Rotation #376 UAB (-10) 2-Stars at -10 or less.

STRONG OPINIONS
Strong Opinion - Rotation #323 Iowa (-17) Strong Opinion at -17 or less.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #334 Michigan State (-24) Strong Opinion at -24 or less.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #372 Utah (+4 1/2) Strong Opinion at +4 or more.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #391 SMU (-6 1/2) Strong Opinion at -7 or less.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NORTHCOAST
Early Bird Play:

Oregon Ducks

This is only a comp but it is, year in and year out, their best play. It's 8-1 this year and 66 percent over 14 years (legit). They release it each Monday and it's almost always a big favorite

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JSM SPORTS
HRC PREMIUM NCAA FOOTBALL ACTION-November 6th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
******************

[326] Michigan |Bet C|OPEN -2.5|B+1/2|ESPN|12:00 pm EST

[377] Nevada |Bet C|OPEN -11.5|B+0|Network N/A|5:00 pm EST

[336] Florida st |Bet A|OPEN -9.5|B+1/2|ABC|3:30 pm EST


note*
This is the "NCAA SPREAD SYSTEM" buy 1/2 on only even spreads (3 game chase)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ARLON SPORTS

3* North Carolina +10.5
3* UCLA +5
3* Utah St -17.5
3* Texas Tech +4

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

INDIAN COWBOY

4 UNIT* Fresno St - over 57
4 UNIT* Tennessee over 52.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

D EANO

5* Wisconsin Badgers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Harrison

5 UNIT* TCU Horned Frogs -6
5 UNIT* USC Trojans -6

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

KYLE HUNTER

5* Navy Midshipmen/East Carolina Pirates OVER 61.5
5* UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns/Mississippi Rebels OVER 63
3* Arkansas Razorbacks/South Carolina Gamecocks OVER 57.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF DUNKEL INDEX

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 6

Game 313-314: Air Force at Army (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 90.298; Army 85.942
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 4 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Air Force by 8; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Army (+4 1/2); Over

Game 315-316: Maryland at Miami (FL) (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 84.902; Miami (FL) 97.538
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 12 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 8; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-8); Under

Game 317-318: NC State at Clemson (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 93.989; Clemson 98.463
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 4 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Clemson by 2 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-2 1/2); Under

Game 319-320: Virginia at Duke (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 80.222; Duke 77.964
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 2 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Duke by 1; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+1); Over

Game 321-322: Louisville at Syracuse (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 91.421; Syracuse 91.749
Dunkel Line: Even; 48
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 6; 43
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (+6); Over

Game 323-324: Iowa at Indiana (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 104.504; Indiana 81.703
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 23; 49
Vegas Line: Iowa by 16 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-16 1/2); Under

Game 325-326: Illinois at Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 98.401; Michigan 96.189
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 2; 52
Vegas Line: Michigan by 3; 57
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+3); Under

Game 327-328: Boston College at Wake Forest (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 86.969; Wake Forest 82.080
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 5; 55
Vegas Line: Boston College by 2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (-2); Over

Game 329-330: Northwestern at Penn State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 85.331; Penn State 90.045
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 4 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Penn State by 6 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+6 1/2); Under

Game 331-332: Wisconsin at Purdue (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 101.820; Purdue 80.485
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 21 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 20; 51
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-20); Over

Game 333-334: Minnesota at Michigan State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 79.158; Michigan State 101.476
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 22 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 25; 57
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+25); Over

Game 335-336: North Carolina at Florida State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 94.678; Florida State 107.155
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 12 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Florida State by 9 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-9 1/2); Under

Game 337-338: Baylor at Oklahoma State (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 95.371; Oklahoma State 100.377
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 5; 70
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 9; 73
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+9); Under

Game 339-340: Arkansas at South Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 95.916; South Carolina 101.587
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 5 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 3; 56
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-3); Over

Game 341-342: Florida at Vanderbilt (12:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 101.035; Vanderbilt 84.164
Dunkel Line: Florida by 17; 41
Vegas Line: Florida by 13; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-13); Under

Game 343-344: Colorado at Kansas (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 79.940; Kansas 72.817
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 7; 57
Vegas Line: Colorado by 10; 50
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+10); Over

Game 345-346: Akron at Ball State (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 53.940; Ball State 65.270
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 11 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Ball State by 13 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Akron (+13 1/2); Over

Game 347-348: UNLV at BYU (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 66.189; BYU 85.029
Dunkel Line: BYU by 19; 48
Vegas Line: BYU by 17 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-17 1/2); Under

Game 349-350: Rice at Tulsa (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 72.232; Tulsa 94.027
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 22; 71
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 17; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-17); Over

Game 351-352: Hawaii at Boise State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 98.706; Boise State 115.826
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 17; 62
Vegas Line: Boise State by 23 1/2; 66
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+23 1/2); Under

Game 353-354: Temple at Kent State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 87.403; Kent State 82.186
Dunkel Line: Temple by 5; 45
Vegas Line: Temple by 3; 41
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-3); Over

Game 355-356: New Mexico State at Utah State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 58.159; Utah State 74.236
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 16; 50
Vegas Line: Utah State by 18; 53
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+18); Under

Game 357-358: Navy at East Carolina (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 87.145; East Carolina 91.220
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 4; 67
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 2 1/2; 59
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-2 1/2); Over

Game 359-360: Washington at Oregon (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 88.221; Oregon 120.136
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 32; 64
Vegas Line: Oregon by 35; 67
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+35); Under

Game 361-362: Southern Mississippi at Tulane (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 84.279; Tulane 75.958
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 8 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 10 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+10 1/2); Over

Game 363-364: Nebraska at Iowa State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 107.592; Iowa State 87.217
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 20 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 18; 58
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-18); Under

Game 365-366: Oklahoma at Texas A&M (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 104.975; Texas A&M 96.288
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 8 1/2;
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 3; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-3); Under

Game 367-368: Texas at Kansas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 91.667; Kansas State 94.823
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 3; 49
Vegas Line: Texas by 4; 46
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (+4); Over

Game 369-370: Arizona at Stanford (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 96.310; Stanford 108.524
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 12; 52
Vegas Line: Stanford by 7; 56
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-7); Under

Game 371-372: TCU at Utah (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 111.260; Utah 112.877
Dunkel Line: Utah by 1 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: TCU by 5; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+5); Over

Game 373-374: Fresno State at Louisiana Tech (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 82.026; Louisiana Tech 85.076
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 3; 64
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 2 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+2 1/2); Over

Game 375-376: Marshall at UAB (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 71.084; UAB 85.756
Dunkel Line: UAB by 14 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: UAB by 9 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: UAB (-9 1/2); Under

Game 377-378: Nevada at Idaho (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 95.362; Idaho 81.059
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 14 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Nevada by 11 1/2; 66
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-11 1/2); Under

Game 379-380: California at Washington State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 91.769; Washington State 80.711
Dunkel Line: California by 11; 58
Vegas Line: California by 15; 53
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+15); Over

Game 381-382: Wyoming at New Mexico (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 73.437; New Mexico 63.866
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 9 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 10; 48
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+10); Under

Game 383-384: Oregon State at UCLA (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 98.863; UCLA 89.871
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 9; 59
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 5; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-5); Over

Game 385-386: Missouri at Texas Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 102.589; Texas Tech 94.303
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 8 1/2; 65
Vegas Line: Missouri by 4; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-4); Over

Game 387-388: Alabama at LSU (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 107.544; LSU 104.118
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 3 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Alabama by 6 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: LSU (+6 1/2); Under

Game 389-390: Tennessee at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 82.964; Memphis 62.114
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 21; 48
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 18 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-18 1/2); Under

Game 391-392: SMU at UTEP (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 77.926; UTEP 72.401
Dunkel Line: SMU by 5 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: SMU by 8 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+8 1/2); Over

Game 393-394: Colorado State at San Diego State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 77.838; San Diego State 89.519
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 11 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 17 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+17 1/2); Under

Game 395-396: Arizona State at USC (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 92.702; USC 107.281
Dunkel Line: USC by 14 1/2; 65
Vegas Line: USC by 5 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: USC (-5 1/2); Over

Game 397-398: UL-Lafayette at Mississippi (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 61.237; Mississippi 92.585
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 31 1/2; 67
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 27; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-27); Over

Game 399-400: Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 66.340; Western Kentucky 66.573
Dunkel Line: Even; 43
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 2 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+2 1/2); Under

Game 401-402: UL-Monroe at Florida International (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 67.671; Florida International 74.532
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 7; 46
Vegas Line: Florida International by 10; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+10); Under

Game 403-404: Troy at North Texas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 85.099; North Texas 70.320
Dunkel Line: Troy by 15; 61
Vegas Line: Troy by 10; 55
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-10); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday's games
Highlighted games
Clemson won last six games vs NC State by 16-point average, with Pack losing last two visits here 27-9 (+20)/20-14 (+18). Underdogs are 7-4 vs spread in last 11 series games. Tigers are 2-4 vs I-A opponents, 0-4 if they give up more than 13 points- they're 2-0-1 as home fave. NC State is 3-1 as underdog this year; average total in their three road games, 60.7. Under is 6-0-1 in Clemson games this season.

Michigan lost back/back games to Illinois for first time since '58; they've lost last three games, with no takeaways (-7), allowing 37.0 ppg in last four. Wolverines are 2-3 as a favorite this year; Rodriguez has awful 3-17 record SU in Oct/Nov with Wolverines. Illinois won three of last four games, scoring 87 points last two weeks; they're 1-1 on road, whipping Penn State 33-13 (+7.5), losing 26-6 at Michigan St (+7; led 6-3 as half).

Joe Paterno goes for win #400 here; he beat Northwestern in last three meetings, 34-13 (-17), 33-7 here (-19), 34-29 (-8). Underdogs are 5-2 in Wildcat games this year; Northwestern is 4-0 on road, scoring 25.5 ppg against four weak teams. PSU was held to 3-3-13 points in three losses; they're 1-2 as home favorite this year, 2-8 in last 10 tries as favorite at home. Five of last seven Penn State games went over total.

Oklahoma State is 13-1 in last 14 games vs Baylor, winning last couple games played here, 34-6 (-17)/66-24 (-16), but 2010 Bears are improved, scoring 30+ points in last six games (5-1) beating Texas last week for the first time in 13 years. Baylor allowed 45 points in both losses this year, 45-10 at TCU (+21), 45-38 on neutral field to Texas Tech (+2.5). Four of last five Baylor games went over the total, as have six of eight OSU games. Cowboys are 4-1-1 as a favorite this season.

SEC home favorites of 10 or less points are 10-3 vs spread so far in '10. Home side won last three Arkansas-South Carolina games, with South Carolina losing three of last four meetings (favorites covered four of last five in series). Arkansas scored 130 points in last three games; they had 21+ points at half in last four, and held foes to 11 of last 52 on 3rd down conversions. Razorbacks' last three games all went over the total.

Don't sleep on Hawai'i team that won/covered last five games, holding all five teams to 27 or less points; they've lost eight of last nine meetings vs Boise State, losing last two games on blue turf, 27-7/41-34. Broncos won 33-30 vs Va Tech, 37-24 over Oregon State against two good teams they played earlier this year. Hawai'i's two losses were 49-36 to USC, 31-13 at Colorado. Five of last seven Boise games went over the total.

Oklahoma won last seven games vs Texas A&M, winning last two visits here, 17-16/66-28; Sooners struggled on road this year, beating Cincinnati 31-29 (-14), Texas 28-20 (-3.5), losing 36-27 at Missouri (-3). Aggies are 5-3, scoring 45 points in each of last two games; they're 0-1-1 as the dog, losing 38-35 at home to Oklahoma State, 24-17 vs Arkansas on a neutral field. Big 12 home underdogs are 2-9 against the spread.

Visitor is 3-2 in last five Arizona-Stanford games, with four of five won by five or less points (dogs 3-2 vs spread). Arizona is underdog for first time this year; they covered three of last four as a dog LY. Over is 3-1 in last four games for both teams. Stanford is 1-2 as home favorite in 2010; they scored 41 ppg in last seven games, but before they waxed hapless Wash State last week, they had allowed 38.3 ppg in previous three.

Home side won four of last five TCU-Utah games; Horned Frogs lost last two visits here, 13-10/20-7. TCU is 11-3 vs spread in last 14 regular season games- they outscored last five opponents 90-3 in second half of games. Utah won 28-23 at Air Force last week, but Falcons scored last two TDs, making it seem closer than it was. Not exactly sure how Utah is 8-0 and a 5-point home underdog. MWC home dogs of 14 points or less are 4-0-1 vs spread so far this season.

Underdogs are 4-0 vs spread in Oregon State's road games this year, with Beavers 1-3 as favorite; OSU won 34-6 in last visit here, after losing the previous two visits, 25-7/51-28. UCLA lost last three games, giving up average of 41.3 ppg- they were outscored 79-10 in first half of the three games. Single digit home underdogs are 1-3 in Pac-10 this year. Four of last five UCLA games went over the total.

Missouri won last two games vs Texas Tech, 41-10/38-21; Tigers lost first game of year last week at Nebraska- three of their last four games stayed under total. Only third road game of year for Mizzou, which had big 30-9 win at Texas A&M in road opener. Texas Tech lost four of last six games, allowing 38.4 ppg in last five. Big 12 home underdogs are 2-9 against the spread this year.

Saban makes second trip back to LSU; he won first two meetings against his old team, 24-15 LY (-7), 27-21 in OT (-3) in '08. Tide is 2-1 on road this year, winning at Duke (62-13), Arkansas (24-20), losing at South Carolina (35-21)- they have ten INTs in last five games. LSU lost tough game at Auburn last time out, their first loss of year; for a team without lot of takeaways (-4 in turnovers last five games) and subpar QB play, Tigers win lot of games. Three of Bama's last four road games went over the total. Both teams had last week off.

USC is 5-3, losing three of last four games; they scored 31-35-32 points in their three losses. Trojans won last 10 games vs Arizona State, taking last two played here, 28-0 (-26)/28-21 (-19). USC is just 4-3 in its last seven home games overall. Sun Devils are 3-1 as road underdog this year, with only one road loss by more than a FG. ASU is -8 in turnovers last five games. Pac-10 home favorites of less than 8 points are 6-2 in '10.

Rest of the Card
-- Air Force is 12-1 in last 13 games vs Army, winning last six visits to West Point by average of 19 points. Falcons lost last three games overall, are 1-3 on road, with only road win 20-14 at Wyoming. Six of last seven Air Force games stayed under total.
-- Maryland won four of last five games; they're 2-2 as road dog in 2010, losing away games by 14-24 points; since '06, Terrapins are 9-11 as road dog. Under is 4-1-1 in last six Miami games. Not sure if injured Miami QB Harris will return to action here or not.
-- Duke beat Virginia 28-17/31-3 last two years, after losing 17 of last 19 games vs Cavaliers; Blue Devils are 1-6 vs I-A foes, allowing 39.3 ppg. Four of last five Virginia games went over the total.
-- Underdog covered last five Louisville-Syracuse games, with an average total of 55.3 in last four. Orange won three of last four games (all as dog) allowing total of 30 points in the wins. Cardinals are 1-3 as underdogs.
-- Iowa is 5-1 as a favorite this year, 1-0 on road; four of its five wins vs I-A opponents are by 21+ points. Hawkeyes covered last four tries as a road favorite. Indiana is 0-4 in Big 11, 2-0 as home dog, losing 42-35 to Michigan (+10), 20-17 (+3.5) to Northwestern last week.

-- Boston College won four of last five games vs Wake Forest, but Eagles lost five of last six games, are 0-2 on road, losing 44-17 at NC State (+9), 24-19 at Florida State (+22). Wake lost last six games, with four losses by 31+ points.
-- Wisconsin won last four games vs Purdue by 18-point average. Boilers are down to #3 QB- they lost last two games by combined 93-10, both on road. Underdogs are 7-0 vs spread in Wisconsin games this season.
-- Underdog is 6-2 SU in Michigan State-Minnesota games, as Gophers won last three meetings, 41-18/31-18/42-34. Minnesota lost last seven games, allowing 36 ppg in last four. Spartans had first loss last week, but covered the four games before that. Florida
-- Florida State won 30-27 in Chapel Hill LY, after trailing 24-6 in 3rd quarter; Seminoles are 3-2 as favorite this year. North Carolina trailed by 10 in 4th quarter to I-AA team last week, but rallied for shaky 21-17 win a week after they got waxed 33-10 at Miami.
-- Florida won last 19 games vs Vanderbilt, winning 42-14/25-19 in last two visits here; Gators ended 3-game skid with OT win over Georgia in rivalry game last week. Vandy lost last three games by total of 113-21.

-- Home side won four of last five Colorado-Kansas games; Buffs lost last two visits here, 30-14 (+14)/20-15 (+2)- they've lost last four games, are 0-3 on road, losing the three games by combined score of 121-17.
-- Ball State lost last four games, allowing 37.5 ppg; they're -10 last four games in turnovers. Akron is 0-9, covering one of last four- they've been outscored 65-6 in first half of their last three games. Home side is 5-2 in last seven series games. If you bet on this game, call GA......please.
-- BYU won last five games vs UNLV, winning last two played here by 42-35 (-23)/52-7 (-28) scores. Seven of eight BYU games stayed under total. Rebels lost their last four games by an average score of 46-13.
-- Tulsa won four of last five games vs Rice, with average total of 72.0 in those games; Hurricane is 2-2 as favorite this year. Rice is 3-2 as a home underdog this year; Owls' last four games all went over the total.
-- Home side won three of last four Temple-Kent games; Owls lost last visit here, 41-38. Temple is 7-2, winning last two games by total of 72-0. Kent is 3-2 in MAC, winning last two games while scoring 63 points.

-- Utah State was outscored 66-10 in first half of last three games, losing by 18-38-14 points; they're 3-2 in last five games vs New Mexico State- this is first time USU is favored this year. NM State covered last three games, split last four SU, with both wins by two points.
-- Navy (-13) got upset 34-31 by Duke last week (trailed 24-0 at half), just their second loss in last seven games. East Carolina scored 37.3 ppg in last four games; they're 2-0 as favorite this year. Six of last eight ECU games went over the total.
-- Washington's star QB Locker is out for Oregon game; Huskies lost last six games vs Ducks by average score of 42-17. Oregon is scoring a stupid 54.9 ppg; could they have a letdown after last week's win at USC, with dicey trip to Berkeley on deck next week?
-- army.com is America's favorite website.
-- Southern Miss won its last five games vs Tulane by average score of 22-7, winning last three by average of 33-5. Eagles scored 41+ points in each of last four games, but they lost 50-49 to UAB last week. Tulane is 4-2 as an underdog this year, 1-1 at home (6-14-1 as HU since '05).
-- Iowa State was an unthinkable +8 in turnovers in Lincoln LY, pulled 9-7 upset, its first win at Nebraska since '77. Cyclones are 5-4 despite three losses by 28+ points this year. Cornhuskers scored 155 points in three road games, winning by 56-21/48-13/51-41 scores.

-- Texas lost last two times they played K-State, losing three of last four visits to Manhattan. Wildcats are 26-5 SU in last 31 November games at home. Longhorns lost four of last five games, allowing 28+ points in all four losses. Six of eight Texas games stayed under the total.
-- Fresno State is 8-3 in last 11 games vs Louisiana Tech, with hosts 5-2 in last seven series games. Home team is 5-2 vs spread in WAC games if spread is 7 or less points. State is 2-1 on road, winning at Utah State and San Jose, losing 55-38 at Ole Miss.
-- Gritty UAB already played three games decided by one point and two OT games (1-1); dogs covered four of their last five games vs Marshall. Marshall scored only 14 ppg in last four games; they're 1-4 as underdogs this year, with five of their six losses by 16+ points.
-- Nevada won last five games vs Idaho by average score of 53-20; they won last two visits here, 49-14/45-7. Wolf Pack allowed 42 points last week in second half, after leading Utah State 35-0 at half. Vandals are 4-4 they scored 34+ points in two of their last three losses.
-- Junior QB Mansion makes first college start for Cal, which won five in row over Washington State by average score of 40-16. Bears are 0-4 on road, giving up 36.3 ppg. Pac-10 home dogs of 22 or less are 1-4-1.

-- Wyoming lost five of last six visits to New Mexico, with only win by 14-10 score; Cowboys are 1-7 vs I-A teams (beat Toledo 20-15). New Mexico is 0-8, 2-6 vs spread, with one loss by less than 10 points. This is another game where if you bet on it, call Gamblers Anonymous.
-- Tennessee won last five games vs Memphis by average score of 46-20; Vols gave up 41-41-38 points in losing last three SEC games, but Tigers are awful, losing last four games by average score of 40-11. C-USA dogs are 14-11 vs spread out of conference, 7-3 at home.
-- Home side won four of last five SMU-UTEP games; Mustangs lost last two visits here, 36-10 (+13), 24-21 (+12). Miners lost three in row after 5-1 start, scoring 15.3 ppg. C-USA home underdogs are 3-5.
-- San Diego State won four of last five vs Colorado State (visitor is 4-1 in last five); Aztecs are bowl eligible, scoring 35 ppg in last three games. Rams covered five of last six games, but are 1-4 as road dog. Five of last six San Diego State games stayed under total.

-- UL-Lafayette lost last four games, allowing 44.3 ppg; six of their eight games went over total. Ole Miss played Bama-Arkansas-Auburn in last three weeks, have to have letdown here. Sun Belt road underdogs are 7-8 against the spread in non-conference games.
-- FAU beat Western Kentucky last two years, 29-23 (-14)/24-20 (-2.5); Owls lost four of last five games overall; five of their last six games went under total. Single digit Sun Belt home dogs are 1-3 vs spread.
-- UL-Monroe won four of its last five vs FIU, winning 31-27 (+7)/35-0 (-1.5) in last two visits here. ULM (+16) upset Troy at home last week; they're 2-3 as road dog this year, losing by 24-14-49-28 on the road.
-- Troy State won last five games vs North Texas, winning 45-17 (-24)/ 13-10 (+2) in last two visits here; they're 0-5 vs spread as favorites this year, with only one win by more than seven points. North Texas is 0-4 at home this year, losing by 1-1-5-24 points.

 

[AC2008]

Football Jesus Podcast : Tennesee Vols-points

 

[TinyBubbles]

500% untouchable play Oklahoma st
300% bookie buster parlay Nebraska Michigan state Oklahoma state
200% dog pound Hawaii
100% army Louisiana tech Utah state

 

[JMEYERS]

HRC PREMIUM NCAA FOOTBALL ACTION-November 6th

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Premium (Rated)
15* Diamond (Rated)
******************

[326] Michigan |10*|Bet C|OPEN -2.5|B+1/2|ESPN|12:00 pm EST

[377] Nevada |10*|Bet C|OPEN -10.5|B+1/2|Network N/A|5:00 pm EST

[336] Florida st |5*|Bet A|OPEN -9.5|B+1/2|ABC|3:30 pm EST


note*
This is the "NCAA SPREAD SYSTEM" buy 1/2 on only even spreads (3 game chase)

 

[Bomber77]

Crown City Sports Consultant
Saturday Nov. 6, 2010

Todays FREE Selection:

2-Michigan State -24.5

 

[goldencontender]

GC Saturday System Club Play

On Saturday the system Club Play is on the LA. Monroe Warhawks. Game 401 at 7:30 eastern. LA Monroes is a solid 8-2 ats as a dog off a win. They come in off a big home dog win against a solid Troy team. Tonight they take on Florida International. FIU is playing in just their 3rd home game this season and comes back off a tough loss at Florida Atlantic. That loss sets them up in a negative system that plays against home favorites of more than 5 with no rest off a road favored loss in vs an opponent off a dog win. FIU is is 1-6 ats vs an opponent off a dog win and they have lost and failed to cover the last 4 games in this series. Take the points tonight with LA. Monroe. On Saturday I have a Huge card backed with 4 College football games with system that are cashing Perfect or near Perfect. The Big East GOY, The Dog with bite, the Blowout System and more. I also will have the NBA Power system Plays and Breeders Cup selections. For the Free system Club Play take LA. Monroe. GC